The Positive Buzz Chart
Calculating the Weekend Box Office's Hottest Tickets |
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January 17, 2006 (Totals reflect 4-day weekend) |
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1
Brokeback Mountain
Average Sales per Theater: $10,309
Metacritic Score: 87
IMDb Average: 8.0
Box Office Rank: #9
Weeks in Release: 6 | Last Week's Rank: 1
BUZZ SCORE: 31.90 | Official Site
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2
Cache (Hidden)
Average Sales per Theater: $14,703
Metacritic Score: 87
IMDb Average: 7.6
Box Office Rank: #37
Weeks in Release: 4 | Last Week's Rank: 3
BUZZ SCORE: 28.70 | Official Site
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3
Match Point
Average Sales per Theater: $7,571
Metacritic Score: 72
IMDb Average: 8.0
Box Office Rank: #17
Weeks in Release: 3 | Last Week's Rank: 2
BUZZ SCORE: 27.17 | Official Site
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4
Transamerica
Average Sales per Theater: $12,239
Metacritic Score: 67
IMDb Average: 7.9
Box Office Rank: #38
Weeks in Release: 7 | Last Week's Rank: 5
BUZZ SCORE: 26.90 | Official Site
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5
The Matador
Average Sales per Theater: $9,414
Metacritic Score: 64
IMDb Average: 7.3
Box Office Rank: #24
Weeks in Release: 3 | Last Week's Rank: 9
BUZZ SCORE: 26.81 | Official Site
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6
Glory Road
Average Sales per Theater: $7,618
Metacritic Score: 58
IMDb Average: 7.2
Box Office Rank: #1
Weeks in Release: 1 | Last Week's Rank: --
BUZZ SCORE: 26.62 | Official Site
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7
Fateless
Average Sales per Theater: $13,540
Metacritic Score: 92
IMDb Average: 6.6
Box Office Rank: #55
Weeks in Release: 2 | Last Week's Rank: 6
BUZZ SCORE: 26.40 | Official Site
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8
Mrs. Henderson Presents
Average Sales per Theater: $8,676
Metacritic Score: 70
IMDb Average: 7.0
Box Office Rank: #26
Weeks in Release: 6 | Last Week's Rank: 11
BUZZ SCORE: 26.18 | Official Site
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9
Hoodwinked
Average Sales per Theater: $7,050
Metacritic Score: 46
IMDb Average: 7.1
Box Office Rank: #2
Weeks in Release: 5 | Last Week's Rank: --
BUZZ SCORE: 24.65 | Official Site
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10
King Kong
Average Sales per Theater: $3,220
Metacritic Score: 81
IMDb Average: 7.8
Box Office Rank: #7
Weeks in Release: 5 | Last Week's Rank: 8
BUZZ SCORE: 24.52 | Official Site
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11
The Chronicles of Narnia
The Lion, The Witch, and The Wardrobe
Average Sales per Theater: $3,973
Metacritic Score: 75
IMDb Average: 7.3
Box Office Rank: #4
Weeks in Release: 6 | Last Week's Rank: 10
BUZZ SCORE: 24.47 | Official Site
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12
Capote
Average Sales per Theater: $3,846
Metacritic Score: 88
IMDb Average: 8.2
Box Office Rank: #25
Weeks in Release: 16 | Last Week's Rank: 12
BUZZ SCORE: 24.45 | Official Site
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It's a sad and awkward transition. Only the latest critically-acclaimed 2005 releases remain on the buzz chart on MLK weekend as January's usual parade of weak major releases start to inunate the chart.
Golden Globe winner Brokeback Mountain easily tops the chart for the third week in a row, which makes the film's chances at Oscar gold very high. Match Point and Transamerica are both poised for success as they finally go into wide release next week.
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"Buzz" is a pretty tough thing to try to measure. But that doesn't stop a statistics-loving boy from giving it a shot.
Using box office ticket sales data, Metacritic scores and user votes from IMDB, I've created a formula that combines popular demand with opinion ratings. The result is a chart that includes quality films (which can only rank highly if they do well in theaters) and seat-fillers (which can only stick around on the chart if they get good reviews).
In other words, these are the films that in the past week have succeeded in enjoying the most positive attention from both critics and audiences.
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The highest possible Buzz Score is 36.00. A movie's total score is determined by adding up points the following categories:
Average Sales per Theater (10 Points): This number is taken by simply dividing the Average Sales per Theater figure by 1000. Films that exceed an average of $10,000 are assigned the maximum 10 points. Also, films that do not earn more than $1,000 per theater do not qualify for the buzz chart.
Metacritic Score (10 Points): The film's Metacritic score divided by 10.
IMDb Score (10 Points): The film's IMDb score.
Box Office Rank (6 Points): The #1 ranked movie in total box office sales receives 6 points. #2 gets 5.9 points. #3 get 5.8. The pattern continues all the way to #60, which receives 0.1 points.
Additional notes: Movies that only appear in specialty theaters, such as IMAX and specific foreign language theaters, do not qualify. The Positive Buzz Chart is also limited to films that reach the Top 60.
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Next week's most likely films to reach the chart:
Why We Fight
Looking for Comedy in the Muslim World
Underworld: Evolution
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Jan 9, 2006
Jan 3, 2006
Dec 27, 2005
Dec 19, 2005
Dec 12, 2005
Dec 5, 2005
Nov 28, 2005
Nov 21, 2005
Nov 14, 2005
Nov 7, 2005
Oct 31, 2005
Oct 24, 2005
Oct 17, 2005
Oct 10, 2005
Oct 3, 2005
Sept 26, 2005
Sept 19, 2005
Sept 12, 2005
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